Tuesday, 28 June 2011

In the United States reluctant to support a Mormon 22% in 2012

Princeton, NJ--although the vast majority of Americans say they will vote for their party candidate for President in 2012 if the person happens to be Mormon, 22% say they will not figure largely unchanged since 1967.


The issue is primarily related to Republican and independent vote in 2012, given that the current Republican front-runner, Mitt Romney, is an active member of the Church of Jesus Christ of saints known as the Mormon Church, and that another Mormon, former Utah gov. and former Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman, the GOP nomination may enter the race next week.

A new Gallup Poll, held 9-12 June, is almost 20% of Republicans and independents, stating that they would not support a Mormon President. This is slightly lower than the 27% of Democrats say the same thing.

The largest differences in contrast to the Mormon President, voted by level of education, with adults not graduated from College, are more stable than those with some college experience or college graduates. This pattern of education in attitudes about voting for someone from almost all specific religious or demographic groups tested in the survey.

There are no significant differences on the issue, gender, age, region, or religious preference. Furthermore the views of the Americans who downloads visit their places of worship are no different from those less listeners or listeners.
 

Opposition to the President of the Mormons among the most common voting bias
22% of Americans elect a Mormon President's reluctance to, at least one nominated by their own party, exceeded only by their oppose electing someone who is Gay or lesbian (32%) or an atheist (49%). in contrast, less than half as many as 10%, say they will not vote for Hispanic and less than 10% would not vote for the candidate, who is Jewish, Baptist, Catholic, woman, or black.

Stability in the United States bias against voting for a Mormon candidate significantly contrasts with the sharp decline over the past half century, including blacks, women, Catholics and Jews in similar views on several other groups. Last time, as 22% of Americans said that they will not vote for any of these groups (the same level as opposed to the vote for a Mormon today), 1959 to 1961 for the Jews, Catholics, blacks and 1971 1975 years for women. As already noted, the opposition to vote for each of them has since been reduced to single digits.

Nevertheless, it is important to note that in 1959, a year before John f. Kennedy won the election as the first Catholic President, 25% of Americans, including 22% of Democrats, 33% of Republicans and 18% of Independents said they will not vote for the Catholic. Public opposition dropped to 21% in May 1960 and 13% from August 1961.

The bottom line
The reluctance of Americans support President Mormon held close to the level of 20%, as Gallup first measured it in 1967 and long after the historical bias against vote for Blacks, Catholics, Jews, and women had declined.

Currently 18% of Republicans say they will not vote for the candidate of their party, if that person turns out to be a Mormon. This may be less troubling for Romney in the GOP primaries, where a vote could be very fragmented or otherwise than in the general election, where--if he wins the Republican nomination--it will be nearly full support from Republicans, to compete with President Obama. However, Kennedy's success in overcoming a similar problem in 1960 for his Catholic faith can give hope to Romney and his followers about his electability in 2012.

For more information about the Gallup Survey methodology www.gallup.comin the visit.
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